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College Football with Joey Lucci

College Football with Joey Lucci

We learned a lot about schools in September but we also learned there are a lot of unanswered questions that may be answered in October. I think we all can say that Oregon is a bit overrated and that Utah is pretty good. What is going on with Auburn and could Kentucky be a force in the SEC East? The Big Ten is solid and currently they have the scoreboard with College Football’s #1 and #2. Is Houston, Temple or Memphis going to crash the Power-5 Bowl party? Does the ACC get left out of the playoffs even with the level that Florida State and Clemson have shown? Notre Dame is better than I realized and can make a huge statement this week at Clemson. I would also like to go on record and gives props to Toledo and who would of thought Northwestern would be 4-0, or Indiana for that matter. As fall looms and the weather cools, College Football continues to heat up with more conference games and in October we should have more questions answered in my opinion the best sport on the planet, College Football!

Option back on track……..Georgia Tech has dropped each of its last two against #8 Notre Dame and Duke on the road. The Yellow Jackets have fallen out of the Top 25 and are 0-1 in the ACC. They return home this weekend and take on North Carolina. This marks their only home game in a month period and will be excited to be back at Bobby Dodd Stadium. The Tar Heels stand 3-1 but two of their wins were against FCS foes North Carolina A&T and Delaware. This is North Carolina’s first true road game and including the neutral game earlier this year are on an 8-17 run away from Chapel Hill. GT is 2-0 as a home favorite in 2015 and laying the TD here should be no problem as I project a double-digit win. Score: Georgia Tech-38 North Carolina-28

Ugly on paper but please give it a chance……..At first glance the Minnesota at Northwestern game does nothing for must but believe me this could turn out to be an interesting meeting. Combined they are 7-1 with the only loss against #2 TCU. Northwestern could be the most surprising story this year so far as they are 4-0 and ranked #16 with an impressive win over #21 Stanford. Minnesota on the other hand is 3-1 with that TCU loss. One thing that is note worthy is the Wildcats are outgaining foes at home by 212 ypg while the Gophers are on the road after back-to-back home games. Minnesota has also escaped in their wins as each the last 3 weeks have come by 3 against Colorado St, Kent St and Ohio (not College Football’s elite). I think that Northwestern moves to 5-0 and I will gladly lay the 4 here. Score: Northwestern-21 Minnesota-13

ROAD DOG WHAT!!!!……..Alabama is not favored to win a game since the 2009 SEC Title. A game they won 32-13 (+5). The last time ironically that Alabama was a regular season dog was in 2008 at #3 Georgia. The #8 Crimson Tide took care a things 41-30 (+6.5). Alabama travels to Athens ranked #13 and are taking on the #8 school in the FBS; could history repeats itself? UGA is 4-0 but their FBS opponents have a combined record of 4-7 (no team over .500) including FCS Southern. Alabama is 3-1 but has taken on #20 Wisconsin and #15 Ole Miss. They both played ULM this year and blew the Warhawks out but Alabama allowed 92 yards and Georgia surrendered 251. UGA RB Nick Chubb is talented as he is averaging 150 ypg (8.4 ypc) but the Crimson Tide defense are allowing just 57 rushing ypg (2.0). On the flip side UGA has allowed over 100 ypg rush its last 3 games while Bama RB Derrick Henry has two 120+ yard games under his belt this year (one against the current #18 ranked defense in the FBS). It will be tough to run against Alabama and even though the Georgia QB’s have played well they haven’t experienced this kind of pass rush and overall dominating defense. Keep this in mind; the Bulldogs even with a loss here could still be in the hunt for a playoff berth. I will call for history to repeat itself and take the points but in my opinion Alabama wins outright. Score: Alabama-31 Georgia-26

We both really need this win……..Arkansas is 0-3 since HC Bret Bielema went off about the Big Ten schedules. I would worry about your opponents, just words of advise. It all started in Little Rock with a loss against MAC member Toledo. Texas Tech upset the Razorbacks at home as a 10.5 point dog! Last week in Arlington Arkansas couldn’t close the deal with Texas A&M and lost in OT. Tennessee is 2-2 but could easily be 4-0 if not for blown 4Q leads hosting Oklahoma; eventually losing in double OT and Florida (lead by 13 with 10:55 left and lost after a 63 yard TD pass with 1:45). What is the mindset of these schools? One big reason that has me siding with the Volunteers is they are at home at Neyland Stadium. The Razorbacks on the other hand are in the second of three straight road games and this marks their first true away game of 2015 (last won one of those in 2010). I will call for Arkansas to drop its 4th straight and with a road trip to Alabama next, wins are not happening anytime soon. I will lay the 6.5 with the home team. Score: Tennessee-31 Arkansas-17

Is Michigan back?……..Michigan even with an opening season loss at Utah has looked very impressive in HC Jim Harbaugh’s first season at the helm. They have allowed just 14 points in the last three games including a shutout of #22 BYU last week. Maryland beat Richmond and USF but has dropped a game hosting MAC member Bowling Green and last week where hammered in Morgantown. HC Randy Edsall has improved his conference record each of the past threes season starting at 1-7 and going 2-6, 3-5 & 4-4. The Terrapins are most likely not going to continue that streak under Edsall this year. Michigan I feel needs a big win to start Big Ten play and on the road would be rather impressive. I will call for a three TD+ win and gladly lay the 16 on the road.
Score: Michigan-33 Maryalnd-10

Next blog on October 10th I will look at week six of College Football

@joeylucci

Joey Lucci can be heard talking college football on the Spadora on Sports radio program. His blog can be found at www.spadoraonsports.com

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